According to @StockMKTNewz, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics has set the release of the December U.S. Producer Price Index for January 30, establishing a confirmed macro event date for trading desks. Source: @StockMKTNewz; U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics release calendar. PPI tracks producer-level inflation and is monitored alongside CPI and PCE by policymakers, making it relevant for rate expectations and cross-asset volatility around the print. Source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (PPI program overview); Federal Reserve communications on inflation monitoring. Crypto markets, including BTC and ETH, have historically been sensitive around major U.S. inflation releases as liquidity and positioning adjust to updated policy odds. Source: CME Group Bitcoin futures market commentary and volume data; Coinbase Institutional market updates.

According to @simplykashif, Fed Chair Jerome Powell said a rate hike is not the base case right now and he is not hearing that view from anyone on the committee, source: @simplykashif on X (Dec 11, 2025). This guidance points to a pause bias versus additional tightening, reducing the immediate perceived probability of further rate hikes used by traders in macro-sensitive strategies, source: @simplykashif. For crypto markets, the removal of a near-term hike as the base case can affect positioning and volatility in BTC and ETH as desks recalibrate Fed path assumptions, source: @simplykashif.

According to @WatcherGuru, Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell said the Fed believes recent job gains have been overstated by about 60,000 in recent months, aligning with the Fed’s focus on labor data within its dual mandate. Source: Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System, Chair Powell press remarks; Federal Reserve, Monetary Policy and the Dual Mandate. For trading, a weaker underlying labor picture typically increases market-implied odds of policy easing and can pressure front-end Treasury yields and the US dollar, metrics closely watched by BTC and ETH traders for liquidity and risk-sentiment cues. Source: CME Group, FedWatch Tool methodology on interest rate expectations; Coin Metrics, State of the Network research on macro-crypto correlations.

According to @StockMKTNewz, Fed Chair Jerome Powell said he does not expect a sharper downturn in employment with interest rates in a plausible range of neutral. source: @StockMKTNewz @StockMKTNewz also reports Powell said the unemployment rate may only tick up by one or two tenths of a percentage point. source: @StockMKTNewz Traders can reference CME Group's FedWatch Tool to gauge market-implied rate expectations when positioning across USD, Treasuries, equities, and major crypto assets such as BTC and ETH following such remarks. source: CME Group

According to @StockMKTNewz, Fed Chair Jerome Powell said the Committee will receive a great deal of data before the January meeting and that everyone agrees inflation remains too high, adding the Fed’s two goals are in tension, source: @StockMKTNewz on X, Dec 10, 2025. This confirms the Fed’s dual mandate of maximum employment and price stability that can at times pull in opposite directions, source: Federal Reserve Board, The Federal Reserve’s Dual Mandate. For trading, upcoming inflation and labor prints will be central to rate expectations and financial conditions heading into January, which Powell emphasized will be informed by incoming data, source: Federal Reserve, Monetary Policy Report; @StockMKTNewz. Because crypto has shown increasing correlation with equities, shifts in rate expectations can transmit to BTC and ETH through risk sentiment and liquidity, source: International Monetary Fund, Crypto Prices Move More in Sync With Stocks (Jan 2022).

According to @KobeissiLetter, Fed Chair Jerome Powell said "Our two goals are a bit in tension, it's very unusual," highlighting conflict between inflation and employment objectives, source: The Kobeissi Letter on X, https://twitter.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1998841919187636668. The two goals reference the Federal Reserve’s dual mandate of maximum employment and price stability, indicating a challenging policy trade-off when they diverge, source: Federal Reserve, https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy.htm. @KobeissiLetter characterized the backdrop as stagflation, signaling concurrent inflation pressures and weak growth dynamics, source: The Kobeissi Letter on X, https://twitter.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1998841919187636668; definition of stagflation source: Bank of England KnowledgeBank, https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/knowledgebank/what-is-stagflation. For crypto traders, stagflation narratives and tighter policy trade-offs have historically coincided with higher risk-asset correlation and volatility, making Fed headlines actionable macro catalysts for BTC and ETH, source: IMF blog "Crypto Prices Move More in Sync With Stocks," https://www.imf.org/en/Blogs/Articles/2022/01/11/crypto-prices-move-more-in-sync-with-stocks; event headline source: The Kobeissi Letter on X, https://twitter.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1998841919187636668.

According to the source, Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell is holding a live FOMC press conference where the Chair presents the policy decision and answers questions from the media. Source: Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System. The Fed states that press conferences communicate the economic outlook and policy guidance used by markets to update rate expectations and financial conditions. Source: Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System. Empirical research documents elevated asset returns and volatility around FOMC announcement windows, highlighting event risk for traders during these communications. Source: Federal Reserve Bank of New York (Lucca and Moench, The Pre-FOMC Announcement Drift). Crypto markets have become more correlated with equities and macro policy signals since 2020, implying that FOMC communications can influence short-term BTC and ETH price swings. Source: International Monetary Fund. Traders should focus on any guidance about the policy rate path, balance sheet runoff, and references to the Summary of Economic Projections, as these can move USD liquidity, yields, and crypto risk appetite. Source: Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System.

According to @BullTheoryio, the Federal Reserve will buy $40 billion of Treasury bills over the next 30 days starting December 12, 2025. Source: @BullTheoryio on X, December 10, 2025. Traders should seek official confirmation via the New York Fed’s SOMA purchase schedule, which publishes planned Treasury operations before execution. Source: Federal Reserve Bank of New York, System Open Market Account (SOMA) operations disclosures. Bill purchases add bank reserves and can ease short-term funding conditions, a tool the Fed deployed in 2019 to maintain ample reserves while clarifying it was not QE. Source: Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System, Statement on Treasury bill purchases, October 11, 2019. Periods of Fed balance sheet expansion have historically coincided with stronger risk-asset performance, and BTC has tended to benefit during liquidity upswings. Source: Federal Reserve H.4.1 Statistical Release (total assets, WALCL via FRED) and Bitcoin price series via FRED. If confirmed, increased bill buying would typically pressure front-end yields lower and weigh on the U.S. dollar, conditions associated with easier financial settings that have aligned with crypto risk-on episodes. Source: U.S. Department of the Treasury (yield data), ICE U.S. Dollar Index methodology, and BIS Quarterly Review 2022 on crypto’s sensitivity to global liquidity.

According to @StockMKTNewz, after today Jerome Powell has three FOMC meetings left as Chair of the Federal Reserve, making the remaining policy dates key catalysts for markets. source: @StockMKTNewz (Dec 10, 2025) The Federal Reserve states Powell’s current term as Chair ends in May 2026, aligning with roughly three policy meetings before mid-year. source: Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System The Fed schedules eight FOMC meetings per year, with early-year meetings typically in late January, March, and late April or early May, which are likely the last three Powell will chair. source: Federal Reserve FOMC calendar Of these, only the March meeting includes the Summary of Economic Projections and dot plot that often drives rate-path repricing, a major cross-asset catalyst. source: Federal Reserve (Summary of Economic Projections schedule) For traders, this compressed window narrows the timeframe for any rate or balance-sheet guidance under Powell, directly affecting financial conditions and cross-asset risk appetite, including crypto. source: Federal Reserve Monetary Policy Report Crypto markets, including BTC and ETH, have shown stronger co-movement with risk assets since 2020, making FOMC communications and projections pivotal for positioning. source: International Monetary Fund analysis on crypto–equity correlation

According to @stocktalkweekly, Kalshi prediction markets now assign a 96% probability to a Fed rate cut at tomorrow's FOMC, up from 25% two weeks ago, source: @stocktalkweekly https://twitter.com/stocktalkweekly/status/1998535809490735228. This denotes a sharp repricing of interest rate expectations into the meeting, signaling market consensus for an immediate cut, source: @stocktalkweekly https://twitter.com/stocktalkweekly/status/1998535809490735228.

According to @StockMKTNewz, a Dec 9, 2025 post on X asks which single word Jerome Powell will 100% not say tomorrow, highlighting trader focus on the exact language of his upcoming remarks; source: @StockMKTNewz on X (Dec 9, 2025).

According to The Kobeissi Letter, President Trump answered Yes when asked whether a new Federal Reserve Chair would be expected to lower interest rates immediately, in a video shared on Dec 9, 2025. Source: The Kobeissi Letter on X, Dec 9, 2025. The remark provides an explicit on-record expectation for immediate rate cuts from a future Fed Chair, creating a policy headline that traders can factor into risk management and positioning across rates and crypto markets. Source: The Kobeissi Letter on X, Dec 9, 2025.

According to @CNBC, U.S. Treasury yields held steady as investors awaited an expected Federal Reserve rate cut, indicating a pre-decision holding pattern in rates markets source: @CNBC. The report did not provide specific yield levels or a timeline beyond noting expectations of a cut, emphasizing market steadiness into the policy event source: @CNBC. @CNBC did not cite any immediate impact on BTC or ETH and limited its commentary to bond market conditions before the expected cut, leaving crypto traders to note the macro backdrop rather than asset-specific signals source: @CNBC.

According to @KobeissiLetter, Fed Chair Jerome Powell said on May 4, 2024 that he did not see stagflation, yet 18 months later inflation remains above 3% and the labor market is at its weakest since the pandemic, leading to the call to own assets, source: @KobeissiLetter. According to the Federal Reserve, its dual mandate targets 2% inflation and maximum employment, so persistent 3%+ inflation and labor softening are pivotal for the policy path and financial conditions that influence USD, rates, and risk assets including crypto, source: Federal Reserve. According to @KobeissiLetter, traders positioning for this backdrop can favor exposure to scarce and risk assets and should monitor CPI, nonfarm payrolls, unemployment data, and Treasury yields as catalysts that can affect liquidity and pricing in BTC and ETH during macro volatility, source: @KobeissiLetter.

According to @CNBC, Wall Street is turning to the Federal Reserve next week for more clues on the policy path ahead. source: CNBC Traders will focus on the FOMC statement, the press conference, and any Summary of Economic Projections updates to reassess the rate outlook and risk positioning. source: Federal Reserve Policy signals from the Fed influence financial conditions via Treasury yields and the U.S. dollar, which in turn shape equity index direction and sector leadership into and after the meeting. source: Federal Reserve For crypto markets, desks are watching for headline-driven volatility because shifts in yields and dollar liquidity around Fed communications can affect risk appetite in BTC and ETH. source: Federal Reserve

According to Edward Dowd, he asserted that undocumented immigration has boosted US economic activity and put a floor under the housing market via rental demand. Source: Edward Dowd on X (Dec 5, 2025). For traders, rental-driven demand is material because shelter comprises roughly one-third of the CPI basket, a key input for Federal Reserve policy expectations that drive rates, the dollar (DXY), and cross-asset risk appetite. Source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics CPI relative importance; Federal Reserve FOMC communications. Crypto market participants should note that changes in US inflation and rate expectations have been associated with co-movements between equities and major cryptocurrencies such as BTC and ETH, making CPI shelter prints and housing data potential volatility catalysts. Source: International Monetary Fund analysis on crypto–equity correlations; Federal Reserve communications on the role of inflation in policy. Equity and macro proxies to monitor include US REITs and homebuilder ETFs (VNQ, XHB, ITB) for housing sensitivity, 2-year Treasury yields for policy-path repricing, and DXY for dollar liquidity impacts that often spill over into crypto liquidity conditions. Source: Vanguard (VNQ) and State Street/BlackRock (XHB, ITB) fund documents; U.S. Treasury yield benchmarks; ICE U.S. Dollar Index methodology.

According to The Kobeissi Letter, the Fed’s Trade Weighted Real Broad Dollar Index is sitting near a 40-year high, underscoring historically strong USD conditions. According to the Federal Reserve Board H.10 data, this real broad index tracks the inflation-adjusted value of the USD against a trade-weighted basket of 26 currencies and current readings remain at multi-decade extremes. According to research from the Bank for International Settlements and the Federal Reserve, sustained USD appreciation tightens global financial conditions and can pressure dollar-denominated risk assets by reducing global liquidity. According to Kaiko market data, BTC and ETH have generally exhibited a negative correlation with the US dollar index in recent cycles, implying potential headwinds for crypto performance if USD strength persists.

According to @CNBC, U.S. stock futures were little changed after the major indexes closed higher as traders increased bets on Federal Reserve rate cuts; the coverage is presented as live premarket updates. Source: CNBC. Because crypto and U.S. equities have shown elevated correlation during macro shocks, Fed-driven equity sentiment can influence intraday volatility in BTC and ETH when rate expectations shift. Source: International Monetary Fund (IMF, 2022).

According to @WatcherGuru, former U.S. President Donald Trump publicly called Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell "incompetent" and "a real dope" in a post shared on X on Dec 2, 2025. Source: @WatcherGuru on X, Dec 2, 2025. The post includes a video clip of the remarks and provides no additional policy details or market data, making this a headline-level development tied to U.S. monetary policy leadership that traders may track for sentiment around USD, Treasury yields, equities, and crypto such as BTC. Source: @WatcherGuru on X, Dec 2, 2025.

According to @cz_binance, the question refers to whether quantitative easing (QE) may be back on the table, as he replied to an X post by The Kobeissi Letter, highlighting a potential shift in central-bank liquidity that traders watch closely for crypto impact (source: CZ on X; The Kobeissi Letter on X). QE is defined by the Federal Reserve as large-scale asset purchases that expand the central bank’s balance sheet, increase bank reserves, and put downward pressure on longer-term interest rates to ease financial conditions (source: Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System). Crypto traders monitor USD liquidity proxies such as the Fed’s Total Assets in the H.4.1 release and the U.S. Treasury General Account (TGA), which mechanically add or drain bank reserves and can influence risk appetite for digital assets like BTC, ETH, and BNB (source: Federal Reserve H.4.1 statistical release; U.S. Department of the Treasury Daily Statement). Historically, balance-sheet expansion and lower term premia have been associated with easier financial conditions and stronger risk-taking across assets, which traders often interpret as supportive for crypto, though outcomes are not guaranteed and correlations can shift (source: Federal Reserve research on asset purchases and term premia; Bank for International Settlements research on global liquidity and risk assets). Trading checklist: track the weekly Fed balance sheet (H.4.1), the TGA path and bill/coupon mix in Treasury updates, and upcoming FOMC communications to verify any actual move toward QE or liquidity facilities before positioning in BTC, ETH, and higher-beta altcoins (source: Federal Reserve; U.S. Department of the Treasury). Until an official policy signal is evident, treat QE talk as a liquidity watch theme, not a confirmed catalyst, and manage leverage and funding-rate exposure accordingly in crypto derivatives (source: Federal Reserve policy communications archive; CME derivatives market references).